In the global markets, after the trade agreement between the United States and the European Union, the increase in risk perception, especially in index -term contracts, increases, while a cautious course in the Asian stock exchanges stands out before the details of the negotiations between the US and China.
While the question marks on the effects of US customs tariffs on the economy around the world, the US administration’s agreements on trade have increased optimism for the future.
US President Donald Trump announced yesterday that they have completed the trade agreement negotiations with the European Union (EU) and that they would apply 15 percent tariffs to EU products.
Stating that they agreed on a framework with the EU, Trump said, “The EU agreed to buy 750 billion dollars of energy products from the US. The EU will also invest more than $ 600 billion in the USA.” he said.
Stating that EU countries agreed to not apply customs tariffs to US products, Trump said EU countries markets will be completely opened to US products.
Trump said that EU countries will receive significant military ammunition from the US and that this purchase would be worth “hundreds of billions of dollars”.
Japan will also pay 15 percent customs duties to the USA
“The US Commission President Ursula von Der Leyen in his meeting with the agreement with Trump,” The US, the EU’s automobile and all other products will apply 15 percent of customs tariffs. I am very happy with today’s agreement. I think this is the biggest trade agreement so far. ” he said.
US President Trump, after the task of the EU countries to import steel and aluminum imports 50 percent, 25 percent of automotive sector and 10 percent of other products put into practice tariffs.
Last week, US President Donald Trump reported that Japan would pay 15 percent customs duty to the USA
Following Japan, the news that the Philippines and Indonesia would also make an agreement with the United States and China in Stockholm’de will meet the risk appetite in the global markets last week.
Before that, while the markets expect “very bad results ında about trade agreements, the fact that the agreements were not worried about the conclusions increased optimism in the markets.
On the other hand, on the macroeconomic data side, the amount of durable property orders in the USA decreased below expectations with 9.3 percent in June.
Stating that the Fed’s interest rate decision will be at the focus of the markets this week, analysts said that the bank will continue to observe the effects of tariffs on inflation and are expected to change interest rates.
On the other hand, non -agricultural employment and growth data to be announced in the US this week are expected to give more ideas about the course of the US economy.
Analysts said that at the Jackson Hole meeting next month, the FED members could give more clues to the bank’s roadmap.
Following these developments, the US 10 -year bond interest rate is 4.439 percent, and the dollar index is 97,60 horizontally.
Behind the declining trade voltages today, the lowest level of the lowest level of 2 weeks with 3 thousand 324 dollars, then the price of ounce of gold began to rise and increased by 0.3 percent compared to the previous closing to 3 thousand 341 dollars.
Brent oil price of the barrels of trade negotiations with the positive developments in the previous closing increased by 0.5 percent of the buyer of $ 67.9.
On Friday, the Dow Jones index, 0.47 percent, the S&P 500 index 0.40 percent, the NASDAQ index gained 0.24 percent, while the index -term contracts in the United States started the day positive.
Index futures contracts in Europe started positively next week
Following the trade agreement between the US and the EU, it is expected that a positive course will be dominated by the European stock exchanges.
Analysts, after the trade agreement between the United States and the EU (ECB) policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) uncertainties may be reduced, he said.
On Friday, the FTSE 100 index in the UK decreased by 0.20 percent, the DAX 40 index in Germany 0.32 percent, while the CAC 40 index in France was 0.21 percent, and the FTSE MIB 30 index in Italy won 0.31 percent.
This week, Boj’s interest rate decision will be the focus of Asian markets
In the Asian stock markets, a cautious course stands out before the details of the negotiations between the US and China.
Analysts, despite the positive atmosphere of the negotiations, the details of the Asian markets, despite the positive atmosphere of the risk appetite, he said.
While the central bank of Japan (Boj) is expected to leave the policy interest constant, the trade agreement between the US and Japan last week is expected to offer a less pessimistic appearance and start again.
On the other hand, according to data released in the region, China in June industrial profits decreased by 1.1 percent. The described data reveals the impact of the risk of deflation on businesses with weak domestic demand and ongoing global trade uncertainties.
With these developments, the Nikkei 225 index in Japan, close to closing, decreased by 0.2 percent of the Shanghai compound index in China, while the Hang Kong increased by 0.4. In South Korea, there is a horizontal course in the KOSPİ index.
The effects of grade decisions of credit rating agencies in Turkey will be followed
BIST 100 index, which followed a sales -weighted course on Friday, lost 0.43 percent of the BIST 100 index by 10.642,60 points.
Borsa Istanbul Futures and Options Market (VIOP) BIST 30 index -based contractual contract on Friday evening session, compared to the closing of the normal session by 0.03 percent increased 12.206.00 points.
The dollar/TL closed at 40,5734 on Friday with a decrease of 0.2 percent, today is traded at 40,5460 with a decrease of 0.1 percent at the opening of the interbank market.
Moody’s, an international rating agency, increased Türkiye’s credit rating from “B1 BA3 to“ BA3 ″, and turned its grade view to “stable”. Fitch Ratings confirmed Türkiye’s credit rating as “BB-“ and the credit rating appearance as “stable”.
Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek, international rating agency Moody’s raising Türkiye’s credit rating, “Our economy in the domestic and international uncertainties and difficulties by overcoming the period in a positive cycle again. This grade increase, the process of successfully managed and confirms the strength of our economy.” He said.
Analysts, today in Turkey, sectoral inflation expectations abroad in the United States DALLAS FED manufacturing industry index will be followed, stating that the technically BIST 100 index 10.500 and 10.400 level support, 10.700 and 10.800 points are in the position of resistance, he said.
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